Last week treated the Lady a lot better than the two prior—7-3 ATS was the final tally. Not bad for a weekends worth of picks, eh? That lovely end brought the season record up to a much more respectable 20-15, but there is still much work to do in order to get well on the year.
So, if you want to glance at last weeks numbers, do so here, otherwise, let's get to this weeks teams worthy of taking a chance on—ATS of course.
(All lines courtesy of VegasInsider.com).
1. Wisconsin vs. Michigan State: Pick Em' (PK)
Wisconsin has played no one of any real substance this season, but they've still managed to be unimpressive in every contest—including the ones where they should have blown the doors off their opponent. Michigan State will be on an emotional high with the return of their head coach to the sidelines and could be up to the challenge of sending the Badgers home with their first loss of the year.
The Lady's Pick: Michigan State
2. Michigan at Indiana: Michigan (-10.5)
Michigan will, likely, have Denard Robinson back as their starting quarterback this week. That's big for the Wolverines because it became clear last week, when Robinson went out in the first quarter, that the team moves the ball a lot more efficiently with him in the lineup. Indiana has played no team that comes close to the offensive power that Michigan brings to the table—expect lots of points.
The Lady's Pick: Michigan
3. Connecticut vs Vanderbilt: Connecticut (10.5)
Vanderbilt may not be playing with a ton of personnel this season, but they are playing with a ton of heart. Connecticut has been on the ATS pendulum this season, doing well against the pansies but folding against the lesser opposition—perhaps it's harder to get up for the lower profile games? The talented running backs (for the respected teams) are due back this week and will be a major factor in the outcome. I think Vanderbilt can keep it interesting so long as Warren Norman can run the ball.
The Lady's Pick: Vanderbilt
4. Georgia Tech at Wake Forest: Georgia Tech (-14)
The Yellow Jackets have been an enigma this season and skepticism about their ability to play a full 60 minutes—on both sides of the field—has to be pretty high right now. That said, they are probably itching to get back on track after suffering such a heartbreaking loss at home last week and there are few teams in the ACC better to get well against than the Demon Deacons.
The Lady's Pick: Georgia Tech
5. Miami at Clemson: Miami (-3)
Everyone is back on the Hurricane's bandwagon after the way they dismantled Pitt last weekend, but Clemson looked impressive for 54 minutes against Auburn a couple weeks back and they've had an extra week to prepare for the Hurricane's arrival in Death Valley.
The Lady's Pick: Clemson
6. Nevada vs. UNLV: Nevada (-20)
The Wolfpack has been on a roll. In the last two weeks, they've beaten both Cal (at home) and BYU (on the road). Now they will travel back to Nevada to take on the lowly Rebels. Though the Wolfpack ran away with this one last season, and should soundly beat the Rebels on Saturday, it just seems like one of those games where the emotional highs can catch up to a team and cause them to lapse momentarily. Nevada won't lose, but they may not win by 20.
The Lady's Pick: UNLV
7. Kentucky vs. Ole Miss: Ole Miss (-4)
It was nice that Ole Miss was able to get it rolling against Fresno State last week, but Kentucky will offer a different kind of challenge to this Rebel offense—a real one. Derrick Locke and Randall Cobb are looking to get loose after being, essentially, stalled against the Gators last week and this is just the game to set the Wildcats loose.
The Lady's Pick: Kentucky
8. Texas Tech at Iowa State: Texas Tech (-4.5)
Iowa State has a pretty good quarterback in Austen Arnaud, but chances are he won't be 100 percent for this one. Texas Tech hasn't been all that impressive, offensively, but they should have enough talent to outplay the Cyclones if they try hard enough.
The Lady's Pick: Texas Tech
9. Marshall at Southern Miss: Southern Miss (-9)
DeAndre Brown is questionable, as is Marshall's defensive stud, Mario Harvey. Both are considerably important to their teams for different reasons. If Brown is limited or held out due to injury, Marshall has enough play makers on defense to keep the game close.
The Lady's Pick: Marshall
10. Virginia Tech at NC State: Virginia Tech (-3)
The odds makers are having a tough time believing in NC State. The Wolfpack has only been favored once this season—at home versus Cincinnati. The underdog roll seems to suit them just fine as they continue to rise above expectations. Look for them to do so again on Saturday.
The Lady's Pick: NC State
Showing posts with label Wolfpack. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wolfpack. Show all posts
Thursday, September 30, 2010
Thursday, September 23, 2010
College Football Odds Week 4: 10 ATS Winners for Saturday (9/25)
The Lady is stuck being average—for the second week in a row—thanks to giving a little too much respect to Notre Dame and my beloved Georgia Bulldogs. However, a new week beckons and, although the season record stands at an unimpressive 13-12, there is a chance that redemption isn't far from probable as we head into week four.
So, getting back on the horse, yet again, here are ten against the spread (ATS) picks for the Saturday slate of college football.
All lines are courtesy of Vegas Insider.
1. Michigan vs. Bowling Green: Michigan (-20)
That embarrassing display of football the Wolverines played last week has likely scared off a few people for this week. However, the Falcons lost their starting quarterback and will once again trot out the sophomore, Aaron Pankratz, who led them to victory against the Thundering Herd. Pankratz will be expected to perform well again in Schilz absence, but Michigan isn't Marshall and the Big House isn't anything like home.
The Lady's Pick: Michigan
2. Boston College vs. Virginia Tech: Boston College (-2)
The Hokies have lost their aura of invincibility and, despite their home win over East Carolina last week, I'm not convinced that they are any better of a team now than they were at the start of the season. By contrast, the Eagles have played well (against lesser competition) and look to be hitting their stride defensively. Virginia Tech will be without starting tailback, Ryan Williams, this week as well—leaving the ground game in doubt.
The Lady's pick: Boston College
3. Ohio State vs. Eastern Michigan: Ohio State (-42)
There is something very scary about giving that many points to any team, but the way Ohio State has played this year, you have to feel pretty confident about their chances to cover. It also doesn't hurt that Central Michigan was able to thump the Eagles by 38 points last week—just saying.
The Lady's pick: Ohio State
4. Georgia Tech vs. NC State: Georgia Tech (-9)
The Yellow Jackets don't seem to be excelling in Al Groh's 3-4 just yet and that has given teams an opportunity to stick around a bit longer in games than Paul Johnson might like. NC State is 3-0 and Russell Wilson will be a challenge to cover because of his ability to scramble. I like the Wolfpack's chances to keep it close.
The Lady's pick: NC State
5. Tennessee vs UAB: Tennessee (-14)
The Volunteers should be able to control the Blazers on offense without too much static and the offense shouldn't have too much trouble scoring on the Blazers defense. This match-up will be a welcome respite for the Vols after the last two weeks of play.
The Lady's Pick: Tennessee
6. Kansas vs. New Mexico State: Kansas (-23)
The Aggies defense is deplorable—no really—it's bad. Kansas may not be anywhere near the team that Turner Gill expects it to be in the very near future, but they have a lot more going for them than the Aggies who not only find scoring difficult (15.5 ppg), but can't seem to stop anyone else from scoring either (giving up more than 40 ppg). The Jayhawks are by no means prolific, but they should be more than capable of putting points on the board against New Mexico State.
The Lady's Pick: Kansas
7. South Carolina at Auburn: Auburn (-1)
Steve Spurrier's team is 3-0 so far this season but they haven't really been that impressive in getting there. Auburn struggled against Mississippi State and almost lost to Clemson last week, but you have to believe that the Tigers defense is more than capable of handling whatever Stephen Garcia has to throw at them. The Gamecocks get their first loss here.
The Lady's Pick: Auburn
8. Alabama at Arkansas: Alabama (-4)
I know that a lot of people are drinking the Bobby Petrino/Ryan Mallett Kool-Aid but, the fact is, this will be the first time the Razorbacks meet a team with this much talent this year. Georgia, honestly, wasnt playing with a full deck last week and they almost engineered the comeback. Alabama has all of it's offensive players back in play and Dareus is back too—on defense—so if the Tide can contain Mallett, you have to like their chances to win it here.
The Lady's Pick: Alabama
9. Nevada at BYU: Nevada (-4)
The Wolfpack won a big one against Cal last week, 52-31, and you have to wonder if they will be due for an emotional letdown this week against a BYU squad that just named its true freshman as the full-time starter. Everything points to a Wolfpack win and that is precisely why I am skeptical.
The Lady's Pick: BYU
10. Oregon State at Boise State: Boise State (-16)
This is the upset pick of the week—crazy right? Listen, the Beavers gave TCU all they could handle early this season and they are looking to make a statement against the Broncos as well so expect this game to be competitive.
The Lady's Pick: Oregon State
So, getting back on the horse, yet again, here are ten against the spread (ATS) picks for the Saturday slate of college football.
All lines are courtesy of Vegas Insider.
1. Michigan vs. Bowling Green: Michigan (-20)
That embarrassing display of football the Wolverines played last week has likely scared off a few people for this week. However, the Falcons lost their starting quarterback and will once again trot out the sophomore, Aaron Pankratz, who led them to victory against the Thundering Herd. Pankratz will be expected to perform well again in Schilz absence, but Michigan isn't Marshall and the Big House isn't anything like home.
The Lady's Pick: Michigan
2. Boston College vs. Virginia Tech: Boston College (-2)
The Hokies have lost their aura of invincibility and, despite their home win over East Carolina last week, I'm not convinced that they are any better of a team now than they were at the start of the season. By contrast, the Eagles have played well (against lesser competition) and look to be hitting their stride defensively. Virginia Tech will be without starting tailback, Ryan Williams, this week as well—leaving the ground game in doubt.
The Lady's pick: Boston College
3. Ohio State vs. Eastern Michigan: Ohio State (-42)
There is something very scary about giving that many points to any team, but the way Ohio State has played this year, you have to feel pretty confident about their chances to cover. It also doesn't hurt that Central Michigan was able to thump the Eagles by 38 points last week—just saying.
The Lady's pick: Ohio State
4. Georgia Tech vs. NC State: Georgia Tech (-9)
The Yellow Jackets don't seem to be excelling in Al Groh's 3-4 just yet and that has given teams an opportunity to stick around a bit longer in games than Paul Johnson might like. NC State is 3-0 and Russell Wilson will be a challenge to cover because of his ability to scramble. I like the Wolfpack's chances to keep it close.
The Lady's pick: NC State
5. Tennessee vs UAB: Tennessee (-14)
The Volunteers should be able to control the Blazers on offense without too much static and the offense shouldn't have too much trouble scoring on the Blazers defense. This match-up will be a welcome respite for the Vols after the last two weeks of play.
The Lady's Pick: Tennessee
6. Kansas vs. New Mexico State: Kansas (-23)
The Aggies defense is deplorable—no really—it's bad. Kansas may not be anywhere near the team that Turner Gill expects it to be in the very near future, but they have a lot more going for them than the Aggies who not only find scoring difficult (15.5 ppg), but can't seem to stop anyone else from scoring either (giving up more than 40 ppg). The Jayhawks are by no means prolific, but they should be more than capable of putting points on the board against New Mexico State.
The Lady's Pick: Kansas
7. South Carolina at Auburn: Auburn (-1)
Steve Spurrier's team is 3-0 so far this season but they haven't really been that impressive in getting there. Auburn struggled against Mississippi State and almost lost to Clemson last week, but you have to believe that the Tigers defense is more than capable of handling whatever Stephen Garcia has to throw at them. The Gamecocks get their first loss here.
The Lady's Pick: Auburn
8. Alabama at Arkansas: Alabama (-4)
I know that a lot of people are drinking the Bobby Petrino/Ryan Mallett Kool-Aid but, the fact is, this will be the first time the Razorbacks meet a team with this much talent this year. Georgia, honestly, wasnt playing with a full deck last week and they almost engineered the comeback. Alabama has all of it's offensive players back in play and Dareus is back too—on defense—so if the Tide can contain Mallett, you have to like their chances to win it here.
The Lady's Pick: Alabama
9. Nevada at BYU: Nevada (-4)
The Wolfpack won a big one against Cal last week, 52-31, and you have to wonder if they will be due for an emotional letdown this week against a BYU squad that just named its true freshman as the full-time starter. Everything points to a Wolfpack win and that is precisely why I am skeptical.
The Lady's Pick: BYU
10. Oregon State at Boise State: Boise State (-16)
This is the upset pick of the week—crazy right? Listen, the Beavers gave TCU all they could handle early this season and they are looking to make a statement against the Broncos as well so expect this game to be competitive.
The Lady's Pick: Oregon State
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